Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.254873 0.300106 0.354015 0.423875 0.513310 0.625809 0.781065
2024-12-29 0.192335 0.248343 0.324283 0.438488 0.612972 0.882881 1.362955
2025-01-05 0.150405 0.206319 0.289044 0.427511 0.670024 1.116597 2.126379
2025-01-12 0.127340 0.183184 0.271807 0.434137 0.755297 1.454864 3.505318
2025-01-19 0.109256 0.162839 0.252521 0.428887 0.814895 1.791201 5.501534
2025-01-26 0.098040 0.150918 0.243893 0.439587 0.913425 2.319908 9.658805
2025-02-02 0.090070 0.142784 0.239785 0.457591 1.040753 3.095496 19.067187
2025-02-09 0.082950 0.134802 0.234009 0.469823 1.162349 4.054558 40.384474
2025-02-16 0.077283 0.128501 0.230120 0.485201 1.306617 5.426869 105.755630
2025-02-23 0.071939 0.121968 0.224379 0.494085 1.439062 7.124248 351.479611
2025-03-02 0.066998 0.115510 0.217554 0.497985 1.559838 9.216865 1960.052517
2025-03-09 0.062381 0.109098 0.209684 0.496603 1.661964 11.693476 57926.091735
2025-03-16 0.057607 0.101919 0.199158 0.485215 1.718588 14.207745 NaN
2025-03-23 0.054897 0.098735 0.197594 0.501798 1.937081 20.955371 NaN
2025-03-30 0.050975 0.092538 0.187735 0.488396 1.985443 25.662058 NaN
2025-04-06 0.048473 0.089139 0.184321 0.496220 2.175980 37.481513 NaN
2025-04-13 0.045617 0.084662 0.177483 0.489924 2.274732 49.891746 NaN
2025-04-20 0.043803 0.082321 0.175861 0.502694 2.534365 82.546183 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042446 0.080863 0.176365 0.524234 2.909628 165.145378 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040938 0.078902 0.175187 0.538900 3.266087 350.564437 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039649 0.077320 0.174838 0.557371 3.716428 999.503576 NaN
2025-05-18 0.038219 0.075266 0.172831 0.568058 4.123966 3643.015520 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036734 0.072946 0.169713 0.572754 4.487803 23237.693032 NaN